The most terrifying chart in the markets right now (when is the next recession). The stock markets have been rallying this year in expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, precisely as we had expected over a year ago. Now that the S&P is over the 5000 level and market sentiment is extremely optimistic, it seems likely the Fed could be cutting rates some time this year in 2024. But what could the rate cut mean for both the stock market and the economy? Could the rate cut by the Fed signal the start of a recession and the next bear market? We shall look at the charts and explain. #stockmarket #sp500 #alessiorastani
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Hey guys. There are some comments who are suggesting (wrongly) that I am always “bearish” in my videos. What they forget is that I have been bullish on stock markets since January and February of LAST year in 2023 when I called for all time highs – as I showed in a recent video: https://youtu.be/8Iw6HLIavEw?si=e1tbgkTKmB1-ujkW . It is true that I did not get everything right last year (e.g. October), but we caught most of the market movements. We are human and we do not have a crystal ball, so we will make mistakes from time to time. This video today does NOT mean that I am “bearish” but only that we are PREPARING for potential risks if the Fed decides to cut rates this year. As you know, we are still in a bullish uptrend (with a likely pullback coming soon) UNTIL the market says otherwise by breaking support, and when that happens we shall be prepared too. Thank you. Have a great weekend. 🙂
ah… Adagio… lovely music 🙂
They will be late in dropping rates and we will certainly enter a very ugly recession, the real estate market is already going down the road of bitterness, they will end up with one worse than 2008 or worse.
If a recession terrifies you get another hobby.
What is the song title of the intro music?
You know nothing about recession! No one does BTC rise let the 6 trillion in cash flow into the market.
how come every article or statement about cutting interest rates will increase the share price?
Why are all the stock markets pulling all time highs, have you heard of the 18.6 year housing cycle .?We are in a bull market by the way 😂
What happens to the property market say after the recession you mentioned then the real break down , where in this circle does the property market crash? Or maybe you can do a video about that? Thanks
this guy is a perma bear ass clown. hasnt been right ever. move on to another guru guys.
we have to long interest rate from free money 1% is not normal , i hope powell not cut the rate, the private take the money out Bubai for earn money , and not the tax payer , thats way they hold up the market now , and very quiqly when cpi is 2% when the market is close dump all the stocks and the private lose the money
Got to the stock market age of 7 😂 bs 101
There won't be recession, but another bear market in 2026
We can't ignore the potential impact on portfolios. Bonds are often considered a safe haven, and if they crumble, investors like me might scramble. I’ve been investing for 11 yrs and my $1m portfolio has never been this depleted, how i do hedge this?
I'm 54 and my wife and I are VERY worried about our future, gas and food prices rising daily. We have had our savings dwindle with the cost of living into the stratosphere, and we are finding it impossible to replace them. We can get by, but can't seem to get ahead. My condolences to anyone retiring in this crisis, 30 years nonstop just for a crooked system to take all you worked for.
Likely big market crash on 19 March 2024.
Hahaha every time they say stock market is going to collapse it just shoots up like crazy.
We need 2 recessions not just 1 we’re so obmvervthe top 2008’looking like grade school problem
73 was the Yom Kippur war, not the 6 day war….i am already doubtful…
Recessions are an unavoidable part of the economic cycle; all you can do is prepare for them and plan accordingly. I graduated into a slump (2009). My first job after graduating from college was as an aerial acrobat on cruise ships. Today, I work as a VP for a global corporation, own three rental properties, invest in stocks and businesses, run my own company, and have increased my net worth by $500k in the last four years.
Do not scream about recession.Nobody believes it now
Perhaps its already decided to cut interest rates as we can see that its already stabilized, they are delaying it for political reasons.
when the market crash people will say that it was certain to be happened when you look at the data. Its an historical golden opportunity to short the market still no one dare😀😀😀.
I'm considering a review of my $1million portfolio allocations, particularly in light of the pause in interest rate hikes. I'm eyeing some high-risk, high-reward opportunities. Crypto and emerging markets seem intriguing. Anyone else exploring these?
One thing you guys missed is this time there is no debt ceiling.
Fed cuts rate as result of possible recession, not vice vesa
Honestly, this concerns me and has left me uneasy. Especially the potential recession. I'm unsure about my $800k account strategy, considering the uncertainty of a recession mostly.
I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
Hit 200k today. Thank you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months.
Started with 14k in last month 2023..
Stocks extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in afternoon trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate.I am under pressure to grow my reserve of $250k.
The US economy is grappling with uncertainties, global fluctuations, and pandemic aftermath, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.
The market is filled with different opinions, some are overvaluation due to rapid gains, while others are strong economic fundamentals justifying high valuations. This raises concern for my $600K equities going 8% up and 20% down. So is it better to hold on or sell off positions to hold cash?
Concerns about a potential recession and the Fed's talk of interest rate hikes have left me uneasy. I'm unsure about my $700K portfolio strategy, considering the uncertainty of a recession and the possibility that interest rates may not rise significantly
What's the title of song in the intro? I know this song and I have tried all to find out….. Can someone help me?
The stock market is looking forward ,so when the rate is cut ,what is to look forward to ,nothing has changed so to market crashes ,thanks ,I know what to do
every year many saying depression…….
Having a recession is a lot like voting. It doesn't matter who wins. but who counts the votes. It doesn't matter if we are in a recession, only has the power to report it.
Presidential selection year is paramount. The Fed (and the treasury) wants to save you know who. We will have a cut before June.