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Is Bitcoin in an Accelerated Cycle? If so, does that mean Bitcoin will top sooner in this Bull Market compared to historical norms? In this episode, we’ll look at the historical tendencies in BTC’s price action when it comes to past Bull Market peaks as well as the Pi Cycle Top Indicator (a reliable Bull Market Top predictor) to compare results through the lens of a potential Accelerated Cycle.
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This analysis is dead-on. This is my third cycle and I am selling between Jan 2024 -March 2025.
Last cycle was truncated by a couple of months, and the last two months of a cycle top equals a doubling of price.
Btc should have hit $150,000 and ADA should have been 6 bucks.
This cycle has a longer runway and will be like nothing ever seen
I think we switch into a hyperbolic model.
just my humble opinion
š¤
thank you fantastic info. now when the 20-50% pullbacks?
one can make a lot of money then!
is this cycle smaller drops because many more players?Ā
or will we still get them? have a good one everyone and ay the money made be a blessing
Counting on days does not mean much to me.
What I'm interested in is which month will the top most likely occur.
When do you think alt season will start?
Why do we need cycles? Does s&p 500 have cycles? Does gold have cycles?
Love your videos. You think we broke ATH due to so much Inflation?
2021 was a lot of geo-political ish. If I remember correctly
great content, thank you.
Why can't it be a semi repeat of last cycle where we had an effective top in May and then a technical top 6 months later, but maybe this time its a 12-18 month gap, with a 9 month crash/correction and then a 9 month rally putting in something maybe another 30% higher.
Math is off by calling Nov 2021 the peak. Calling that the peak is putting the top at Sept/Oct 2025. Doubt a peak will ever happen in Sept of any yr. Oct is usually when things start cooking after the usual rocky Aug/Sept. Peaks in crypto happen every 3.5 to 4 yrs in the 3.75 yr cycle (not 4 yr cycle). Nov/Dec 2013 peak. 4 yrs later Dec/Jan 2017/18 peak. 3.5 yrs later April/May 2021 peak. 3.5 to 4 yrs later puts next peak between Nov 2024 and May 2025. Oct 2025 would put peak at 4.5 yrs later which is outside the 3.75 yr cycle that peaks every 3.5-4 yrs range.
Will there be a prehalving retrace ? Or we'll just keep on going up ?
So an earlier peak this cycle, but now…how high are you projecting price can reach? Thanks.
Yep, its a different cycle this time with demand/supply shock coupled with institutional money flowing in. btc Is in price discovery now and anything can happen. My guess is btc peaks Oct/Nov 2024 but wont drop down as much as past cycles
Iām just hoping thereās still going to be a post halving rally because if this was the only rally time frame that would suck and completely fuck me
Difficult to tell, last cycle was a really bad oneā¦ a lot of FUD before the halving, then some big black swan eventsā¦ but we are going into this one with unprecedented demand off the back of the ETFs, weāve broken BTC ATH before the halving has even happenedā¦ could this be a really massive run?
Another great vid! Loved it. Perhaps you can also include the Pi Cycle Top MA extensions to see where the top is āscheduledā to be?
The top would be in Dec after the US election. After that market will crash
Thatās interesting to think about. Rather than using the halfing using the all time highs.
it will peak around 120K… then it make sense.
How would that impact the altcoins, of which many, in contrast to the BTC, are still far away from their ATHs?
Damn i cant withstand another drop please just peak soon so i can sell off
You're over analyzing. Both 2017 and 2021 peak were in late fall of the second year after the initial breakout from bitcoin ath due to halving. Sell late october 2025.
Great video this is actually super important information and I like how you went into details using not only the having events but also the previous all-time high as a point of reference
Nice TA! Thanks.