Finance Professor Explains: S&P 500 Price Prediction by 2030 | Onlyinvesting.info

Superb

2030…8000??? Brother if it hit 5000 by 2033 I’ll be shocked. Lost decade-15 years incoming. Hope I’m wrong

I think 10% annual growth is way too high over the next 10 years. With a PE of 20, the S&P500 has an expected return of 5%. Tack on a couple percent for inflation and we're likely to get something closer to 7% per year, leading to a little over 10 years to double. Unfortunately, these predictions are useless. In reality anything can happen to move us either direction on the distribution curve of returns, and the market will test all investors to see if you can handle it.

I started investing in August 2021 and even with the full hit of 2022 still my returns are positive nearly 5%. The consistency of the dca method is always the key.

I have the feeling this was the winner for a long time, but with the world moving away from America, and rise of brics – and the introduction of sanctions to America – this party maybe over :/

I’m conflicted at what to do now , I guess I’ll invest anyway and hopefully not get stung in a recession and then in the new multi polar world the American market won’t be the same —- guess it’s a gamble but I’ll prob still take it

What do you say about the S&P coming down in Q3 and Q4 of 2024?

I love the simplified way you explain complex financial topics. I have a question around the 3 fund portfolio that you explained in another video comprising of a growth fund indexed to SP500 like SPY or VOO, a tech heavy NASDAQ-100 index funds like Invesco QQQ and a dividend fund like SCHD in allocation proportion of 40, 20 and 40 percent respectively. I started applying the principle as part of a dollar cost average strategy from last month with 2K dollars. However I read and found that the market currently is highly overvalued and might go for a correction soon. In that scenario of an overvalued market, would you still recommend the same allocation of 40, 20, 40 or should we lean more towards more of a dividend fund for the period when the market is overvalued?. In the same way, would you advise allocating more percentage to the growth funds when the market is down and undervalued? Based on your research and experience, do you think it is a worthwhile pursuit for an investor to check the market status (overvalued and undervalued) and adjust the percentages accordingly? Might be good to make a video on this topic to put your view across.

Should I fill Roth IRA Jan 1? Or wait?

How many shares is a good number of shares to buy into just ‘one’ of these eft stocks, to see longterm gains in the beginning stages of investment?

Bro, you were so wrong to predict a 20% drop by the end of 2023.

voo gain for me 24% on 93,000

Why wait until the end of the year to add your cash to the market ? Why not invest it right away ?

If I have 40k to invest…do I put all in my 3 desired ETF's all at once or do I DCA $1000 per month until it is all invested over the next 3.5 years? Why $1000 per month that is just what my goal per month is…I guess I could increase that to invest it all sooner. Thanks for your direction and advice.

What a great video!!! A big thank you from Chile 😘

From 1979 to 2024 there were only 2 7 year periods where it did not double, and they were consecutive 7 year periods from 2000-2014 (which of coarse included 2008). And it was only approximately 400 points higher in 2914 than it was in 2000 which means if one wasn’t continuing to contribute for those 14 years his account would have been pretty much the same in 2014 as it was in 2000. Of coarse now 10 years later it would look good.

So this means that, for instance, 7 years from now could be another occasion that it’s not double and or it could be the same, (or significantly lower with a crisis) and you might have to wait another 7 years for it to come back and or double.

Only 2 7 year periods that it didn’t double (with one 7 years involving a financial crisis) in 45 years are pretty good odds that it will be double, hopefully, in another 7 years.

Good video and I’m glad your prediction for a 20% drop by year’s end 2023 proved untrue. Maybe from here who knows, but this prediction that didn’t materialize once again exemplifies that NOBODY knows what the market is going to do short term.

And long term they only know what it’s done over the longer term in the past. So I do hope it continues and my 1M is 2+M by 2028-30.

The cover of Ric Edelman’s book “Rescue Your Money” says it best.

Proffersor g your brilliant. I was thinking of that number before never seen this video amazing. Believe him… Becuv see past history inflation happen…had chat mum she said 70s prices houses where cheaper when inflation happen 1980s her uncle got richer he had properties bought cheaper prices before inflation hit.. Then after 1980s prices increased never see same prices again 1970s similar, prices when more expensive… This was UK…
S&P 500 will make 8k in future. Now inflationary world is also facing this inflation. Worrying part is America debt trillions.. Not only that it's credit trillions debt consumers.

It’s Late February 2024 the market is up 22% now from the date of this video, that’s why I don’t listen to “experts” like yourself, put it in the S&P 500 set it and forget it. If I would have listened to you that would have been trying to time the market. Nobody can time the market, not even the “experts”.

bro picked 2011-2013 💀💀💀 What about 2000 to 2013

Years ago, I decided to follow the advice of the 3 finance gurus: Buffett, Bogle and Lynch. Invest in American business steadily over time using low fee index funds. 25 years later I'm sitting on 3/4 mil + (would have been more were it not for a couple loans through the years…but se la vie). The compounding really starts taking off after you hit 3 or 400k so it gets easier later in your career. For all of this not to work, you would have to believe in a total collapse of the US economy and our way of life which would really mean a world wide collapse of such epic proportions the last thing you would need to worry about is your investments anyway. Since I find that scenario improbable and highly unlikely, I will keep investing every 2 weeks until I retire later this year. ✌

Why do you prefer VOO or SPY when FXAIX has a 0.015% expense ratio? 50% less than VOO.