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Bitcoin has historically experienced a strong retrace around the time of its Halving event. Why? One explanation could be that short-term traders are buying the hype and trying to sell the news, in anticipation of quick short-term profit. The market corrects for this psychology around the Halving when people try to capitalise on gains and lock in a Return on Investment. But what these traders don’t realise is that the Pre-Halving retrace is a crucial re-accumulation point and the biggest return on investment will be generated by holding Bitcoin for many months after the Halving.
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Yeah thats healthy bullrun if we see a 35k correction
We pumped so hard unexpectedly in the last week
You do a great job mate 👍
btc price was quickly accelerated pre-halving we reached 50k so quick. I am bag holder I am not selling anything but I am expecting same correction. maybe this time is different or what? 🙂
You gotta laugh at this fella. If you think it’s gonna drop 40% (spoiler: it won’t) short it 100x then. See how that works out for you buddy 😂
Thank you
Probably going to be a dump whenever the fed pivots this year. Earliest will be the summer though. Im hoping for a halving dump and then a fed pivot dump on top of that.
smaller retrace smaller pump….it wasn't just covid also fed pivot
I think 34-38k healthy correction for strong support. 10-14% drop.
Nope, up only
evry video is the same..
You earned my sub, keep doing your thing!
Amazing papa
Maybe correction already happened from 48k to 38k or double bottoms I expected.
This isn’t right. Please correct this. In 2016 the crash happened post halving but that’s because the .618 hit came right at the halving that’s why. The halving was in July 9 and price bottomed in august. You got to look at the .618 and then the crash. The big crash happens after the .618 is hit. The .618 can be hit anytime before the halving year or after.
2012- .618 hit in 2012 then crashed
2016- .618 hit in June then crashed.
2019- .618 hit in June 2019 then crashed to 7k
2024- .618 hit now we should have a crash soon.
Legend
Wanting to get into CLSK but it keeps on running, shall I wait for dip or just buy? Thanks
Bu adamn söylediklerini özetleyecek olan varmı.?
You did not mention the currency debasement role, which seems to be delayed, this time.
Where did the pre-halving downside phase go??
Great analysis
I pray it goes to 38K
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Finally somebody with some common sense here! I've been yelling at the top of my lungs that this is a massive bull trap a regular trap before the halving.
You got my sub man, this last dip is the final chance to make millionaires!
no retrace in 2012
It's different this time because we have a lot of American ETFs buying and FOMOing.
I think 20 % drop max
0:00: ⚠️ Bitcoin may experience a significant -40% crash around its 2024 halving due to historical patterns.
3:28: 📉 Bitcoin's potential retracement before 2024 halving based on historical data.
7:12: ⚠️ Bitcoin's price volatility around halving events is driven by short-term traders, leading to shakeout moments.
Timestamps by Tammy AI
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You say a lot of different and contradicting things
Thanks for sharing this video. seems like the crypto space has become a very big platform for money to be made, id love to start trading and earning but with absolutely no knowledge
Lfg 30k
this cycle is will not follow this, last cycle not have etf
40% is almost impossible, but 15% drop is possible. I believe 42k would be a good enough correction before halving
I’m selling my entire bag ,,, once us recession hits. It’ll be (a )multi years ,,,
9k
100% agree. A final drop to shakeout the insane amounts of FOMO retail traders has to happen. Glad you're realistic.
You need to factor in the possible weak hands who hold the BTC ETF's. Whilst you might think that such people will HODL their bags I am inclined to think that they are even weaker.
It may drop but not as much as 40 percent. Prices will be manipulated by the ETF people. This bullrun isn’t the same as the previous ones
today btc is $50987
in my opinion fall to 20% – 30% is possible. the pattern looks like "pattern cup and handle"
Does this mean that i shouldnt buy bitcoin before this price drop?